Köln vs Duisburger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
KOL
2 - 0
BOC
82%
12%
7%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
ROT
0 - 2
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
KOL
0 - 1
AAA
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
KOL
3 - 2
ROT
84%
11%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
BVB
0 - 3
KOL
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Duisburger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
DUI
2 - 3
HAM
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
PRE
2 - 2
DUI
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
DUI
1 - 2
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
DUI
3 - 5
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
VIK
1 - 3
DUI
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |