1º Dezembro vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 2
1DE
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 3
MAF
27%
27%
47%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ORI
5 - 0
1DE
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
1DE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
1DE
0 - 1
QUA
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
QUA
1 - 1
SER
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
FAR
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 0
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
OEI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |