1º Dezembro vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
3º
41
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAB
2 - 1
1DE
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
1DE
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 0
UDA
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
1DE
60%
25%
16%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 2
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SER
26%
28%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |