Lowland Football League Scotland Round 31

Caledonian Braves vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis

Caledonian Braves Cumbernauld Colts
37 ELO 37
6.3% Tilt 8%
4093º General ELO ranking 6437º
48º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
46.7%
Caledonian Braves
21.1%
Draw
32.2%
Cumbernauld Colts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Caledonian Braves
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.2%
Win probability
Cumbernauld Colts
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caledonian Braves
-5%
+34%
Cumbernauld Colts

Points and table prediction

Caledonian Braves
Their league position
Cumbernauld Colts
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
10º
46
10º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caledonian Braves
Cumbernauld Colts
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caledonian Braves
Cumbernauld Colts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caledonian Braves
Caledonian Braves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 5
Caledonian Braves
CBF
57%
20%
23%
35 38 3 0
28 Jan. 2023
SPA
Spartans
5 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
71%
18%
12%
36 47 11 -1
14 Jan. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
2 - 3
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
21%
22%
57%
37 48 11 -1
07 Jan. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 - 4
Caledonian Braves
CBF
33%
21%
46%
35 29 6 +2
03 Jan. 2023
CBF
Caledonian Braves
10 - 0
Dalbeattie Star
DAL
84%
10%
6%
35 20 15 0

Matches

Cumbernauld Colts
Cumbernauld Colts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2023
CIV
Civil Service Strollers
0 - 1
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
44%
23%
33%
37 37 0 0
04 Feb. 2023
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 0
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
50%
22%
28%
38 39 1 -1
28 Jan. 2023
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 0
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
26%
21%
53%
39 29 10 -1
14 Jan. 2023
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
1 - 0
Bo'ness United
BON
45%
22%
33%
39 40 1 0
07 Jan. 2023
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 1
Cumbernauld Colts
CUM
40%
22%
38%
39 37 2 0