Caledonian Braves vs Bo'ness United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
15º
12º
67
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 12 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
CBF
4 - 0
GRE
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THE
1 - 1
CBF
28%
21%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 1
CBF
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CBF
0 - 1
CIV
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
CBF
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bo'ness United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CIV
2 - 0
BON
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BON
0 - 3
CUM
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BON
0 - 1
ALB
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 4
BON
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BON
2 - 0
GRE
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |