Welling United vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 3
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAM
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
EBB
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +3 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 0
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 0
EAS
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
POR
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
MOR
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
MKD
0 - 1
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
IPS
6 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |