Thisted vs Jammerbugt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SKI
2 - 1
THI
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SYD
0 - 1
THI
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
THI
2 - 0
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SKI
2 - 2
THI
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 1
THI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jammerbugt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
HOB
2 - 1
JAM
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
JAM
3 - 4
HOL
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JAM
4 - 1
NAS
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
JAM
5 - 2
FRE
56%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 1
JAM
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |