Mladost Lučani vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
MLA
77%
15%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
11 Dec. 2020 |
MLA
0 - 0
NAP
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
06 Dec. 2020 |
MLA
3 - 2
NPA
72%
18%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
29 Nov. 2020 |
VOZ
3 - 2
MLA
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
25 Nov. 2020 |
FKS
1 - 1
MLA
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 Dec. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 2
GAZ
21%
28%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
29 Nov. 2020 |
GAZ
2 - 1
KRS
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
25 Nov. 2020 |
TEK
0 - 2
GAZ
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
21 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
GAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
15 Nov. 2020 |
NEF
1 - 2
GAZ
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |