Melksham Town vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
80.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BID
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
AFT
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FRO
2 - 1
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 3
BRI
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 3
BOL
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
STF
2 - 1
BRO
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
POS
0 - 0
BRO
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
PLY
2 - 0
BRO
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
BRO
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |