Luzern vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCL
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
39%
24%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 2
LUG
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 2
LAU
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |