Jablonec II vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
JBN
5 - 0
FRY
30%
21%
50%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JBN
3 - 5
FKC
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SPA
3 - 2
JBN
55%
21%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JBN
2 - 3
SLO
21%
19%
60%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
JBN
2 - 0
HKI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 0
LIS
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
DUK
2 - 1
SLO
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
SLO
3 - 1
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
SOK
1 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZBR
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |