Nürnberg vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
80.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DIO
1 - 3
FCN
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
FCN
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 0
ROS
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
WAT
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ARS
5 - 0
WOL
76%
16%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
12%
20%
68%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 3
BHA
66%
19%
15%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
ARS
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |