Euxton Villa vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
76.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
GFC
3 - 0
CHO
10%
14%
76%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GLO
4 - 3
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEA
1 - 2
CHO
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 3
SCA
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |