Botev Vratsa vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 1
BVR
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
BVR
0 - 2
BER
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
BVR
1 - 0
SEP
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
BVR
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
BVR
1 - 1
SSO
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 2
APS
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
APS
0 - 1
LAM
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
APS
0 - 0
VNF
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PGE
1 - 0
APS
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
APS
0 - 0
OFI
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |