FAW Championship Gales South Round 4

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido analysis

Trethomas Bluebirds Afan Lido
49 ELO 45
1.9% Tilt -6.7%
5263º General ELO ranking 6083º
36º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
45%
Trethomas Bluebirds
22.8%
Draw
32.2%
Afan Lido

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.2%
Win probability
Afan Lido
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Trethomas Bluebirds
+15%
+3%
Afan Lido

ELO progression

Trethomas Bluebirds
Afan Lido
Cambrian United
Llantwit Major
Ynyshir Albions
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2025
TRE
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 - 5
Cambrian United
CAM
35%
25%
40%
49 55 6 0
08 Aug. 2025
CAE
Caerau Ely
1 - 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
TRE
51%
23%
26%
49 48 1 0
01 Aug. 2025
BRI
Briton Ferry
3 - 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
TRE
69%
17%
14%
49 60 11 0
25 Jul. 2025
TRE
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 - 2
Trefelin
TRE
40%
25%
35%
50 52 2 -1
09 Jul. 2025
TRE
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 - 2
Goytre AFC
GOY
63%
19%
18%
50 33 17 0

Matches

Afan Lido
Afan Lido
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2025
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
1 - 4
Afan Lido
LID
37%
23%
40%
45 41 4 0
09 Aug. 2025
LID
Afan Lido
0 - 4
Treowen Stars
TRS
90%
7%
3%
45 10 35 0
01 Aug. 2025
LID
Afan Lido
0 - 5
Swansea U21
SWA
19%
19%
62%
47 57 10 -2
25 Jul. 2025
NWC
Newport City
1 - 0
Afan Lido
LID
42%
24%
35%
48 50 2 -1
19 Jul. 2025
LLA
Llantwit Major
1 - 2
Afan Lido
LID
36%
24%
40%
47 49 2 +1