What's the likelihood of each team lifting Europe's ultimate club prize? We've punched all the statistics into our calculators to answer this simple question. Here are the findings according to 'BeSoccer's stats database, 'ProFootballDB':
Madrid have a 52.9% chance of winning, making the club from the Spanish capital slight favourites for the clash. Liverpool have a 46.3% chance, leaving just a 0.8% probablity of the game ending in a draw. A draw that would lead to extra-time and, if necessary, the dreaded spot-kicks.
What are these stats based on? Form, recent performances, the player's levels... Players like Cristiano Ronaldo vastly improve Madrid's chances whilst the attacking trident of Salah, Mané and Firmino help the Reds' case.
Football is constantly changing. One, two, even three months ago, the results would have undoubtedly been different. However, now, just days away from the final in Kiev, Madrid have the slight advantage over Liverpool.
And it doesn't come as much of a surprise that out database is tipping Real Madrid. 'Los Blancos' currently have 12 Champions League trophies in their cabinet at the Bernabeu and will now have featured in four of the last five years' finals. Zidane's men know better than anyone how to step up their game on Europe's biggest stage, but there's no way Liverpool will just roll over on 26 May.
May 22, 2018