The probability of each team making it to the 2018/19 Europa League knockout stage
Bayer LEverkusen have the best chance of extending their European campaign into the new year with 84% despite an irregular start to the league season. Ludogorets are expected to join them (76%)m with minnows Zurich and Larnaca needing a miracle.
The two Red Bull teams are expected to advance to the knockout stage, with Salzburg given a 78% percent chance of progressing and Leipzig 63%. Celtic poor start to the season sees them given just a 30% chance, with Rosenborg expected to have little impact on the competition.
Zenit St Petersburg are the clear favourties according to the study (84%. The battle for second could be interesting with both Bordeaux and Kobenhavn in with a chance (54% and 52% respectively. Slavia Prague following a long way behind with just 10%.
Turkish giants Fenerbahce are backed to be part of the final 32 (75%) just ahead of Anderlecht (69%). Dinamo Zagreb could be in with a shout (45%), but Slovakian side Spartak Trnava look unlikely to advance (9%).,
A group that may well be already sewn up if the statistics are to be believed, with Arsenal (91%) and Sporting Lisbon (70%) heavily backed to progress. Voskla and Qarabag (23% and 15%) trail a long way behind.
AC Milan are surprisingly not suspected to prevail (29%), with Spanish side Real Betis (68%) and Greek outfit Olympiakos (57%) preferred. Luxembourgish side Dudelange have one of the lowest chances of progressing in the competition with just 3%.
Villarreal are expected to dominate the group (84%), with Rapid Vienna the most likely to join them in the knockout stage (31%) ahead of Rangers (15%) and Spartak Moscow (9%).
Lazio and Marseille are given an 80% and 71% chance respectively of making it to the knckout phase, with Eintracht FRankfurt some way behind on 42%. Cypriots Apollon Limassol (8%) look to just have pride to play for.
A few possibilities in this one, though Besiktas are the most likely to progress (77%). They are followed by Genk (63%) and Malmo (52%), with Norwegians Sarpsborg unlikely to remain in the competition beyond the group stage (8%).
Europa League veterans Sevilla are unsurprisingly favourites to advance (85%), with Krasnodar (63%) and Standard Liege (44%) set to battle to join them in th eknockout stage. Turkish minnows Akhisar are the least likely team in the competition to make it out of the group (2%).
Dinamo Kiev and Rennes (84% and 58% respectively) are the favourites, though both Astana and Jablonec (29% and 29%) are not without hope.
Having been placed in a group with Chelsea and PAOK, there appeas to be little hope for BATE and MOL Vidi. The 'Blues' have a 96% chance of progression and the Greeks 86%, leaving the Belarusians and the Hungarians with just 12% and 5% respectively.