3. Liga Temporada Regular. Jor. 13

Zwickau vs Freiburg II analysis

Zwickau Freiburg II
55 ELO 59
-3.9% Tilt 17.4%
3392º General ELO ranking 2349º
98º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
36.7%
Zwickau
27.8%
Draw
35.5%
Freiburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
Zwickau
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
Freiburg II
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zwickau
+18%
-25%
Freiburg II

Points and table prediction

Zwickau
Their league position
Freiburg II
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
20º
19º
73
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Elversberg
74
74
100%
Freiburg II
73
73
100%
VfL Osnabrück
70
70
100%
Wehen Wiesbaden
70
70
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
69
69
100%
Dynamo Dresden
69
69
100%
Waldhof Mannheim
60
60
100%
1860 München
57
57
100%
Viktoria Köln
55
55
100%
Verl
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Ingolstadt 04
11º
47
47
11º
100%
MSV Duisburg
12º
46
46
12º
100%
B. Dortmund II
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Hallescher FC
16º
41
41
16º
100%
SV Meppen
17º
37
37
17º
100%
VfB Oldenburg
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Zwickau
19º
35
35
19º
0%
Bayreuth SpVgg
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zwickau
Freiburg II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Zwickau
Freiburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zwickau
Zwickau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 2
Zwickau
ZWI
54%
24%
22%
56 63 7 0
08 Oct. 2022
ZWI
Zwickau
0 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
24%
24%
52%
57 64 7 -1
03 Oct. 2022
ING
Ingolstadt 04
0 - 0
Zwickau
ZWI
41%
26%
33%
57 60 3 0
17 Sep. 2022
ZWI
Zwickau
1 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
48%
26%
27%
57 54 3 0
11 Sep. 2022
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
Zwickau
ZWI
33%
25%
42%
57 55 2 0

Matches

Freiburg II
Freiburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
3 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
28%
27%
45%
58 64 6 0
09 Oct. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
0 - 3
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
47%
27%
27%
59 55 4 -1
01 Oct. 2022
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 2
Freiburg II
FRE
54%
25%
21%
59 64 5 0
18 Sep. 2022
FRE
Freiburg II
1 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
26%
25%
48%
59 63 4 0
10 Sep. 2022
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 1
Freiburg II
FRE
51%
26%
23%
59 63 4 0
X