Zwettl vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
SCR
3 - 1
ZWE
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 3
ZWE
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ZWE
2 - 2
OBE
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
WUR
3 - 0
ZWE
47%
23%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ZWE
2 - 2
EBR
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 2
OBE
55%
20%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 2
ARD
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 3
EBR
12%
17%
70%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
ARD
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 3
GAF
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |