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Promotion Belgium. VFV B, Matchday 30

Zwarte Leeuw vs Esperanza Pelt analysis

Zwarte Leeuw Esperanza Pelt
36 ELO 53
42% Tilt -20%
3319º General ELO ranking 958º
278º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Zwarte Leeuw
24.5%
Draw
23.9%
Esperanza Pelt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
Zwarte Leeuw
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.9%
Win probability
Esperanza Pelt
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zwarte Leeuw
+50%
-9%
Esperanza Pelt

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tienen
65
65
100%
KFC Houtvenne
53
53
100%
Lyra
52
52
100%
Sint-Lenaarts
46
46
100%
Betekom
45
45
100%
Zwarte Leeuw
43
43
100%
Wellen
42
42
33%
Eendracht Termien
42
42
33%
Helson Helchteren
42
42
33%
Bornem
10º
37
37
10º
50%
Esperanza Pelt
11º
37
37
11º
50%
Bilzerse Waltwilder
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Ternesse
13º
33
33
13º
100%
KFC Nijlen
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Leopoldsburg
15º
30
30
15º
100%
Racing Mechelen
16º
27
27
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zwarte Leeuw
Esperanza Pelt
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zwarte Leeuw
ZWA
Esperanza Pelt
ESP
Leopoldsburg
LEO
Onhaye
ONH
Eendracht Termien
EEN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zwarte Leeuw
Zwarte Leeuw
1%
X%
2%
ELO ZWA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2019
TER
Ternesse
2 - 4
Zwarte Leeuw
ZWA
54%
25%
22%
496 849 353 +1
13 Apr. 2019
ZWA
Zwarte Leeuw
2 - 4
Bilzerse Waltwilder
BIL
36%
27%
37%
496 981 -485 -1
06 Apr. 2019
SIN
Sint-Lenaarts
0 - 1
Zwarte Leeuw
ZWA
60%
22%
18%
496 1162 666 +1
30 Mar. 2019
ZWA
Zwarte Leeuw
0 - 0
Lyra
LYR
41%
28%
31%
496 655 -159 0
23 Mar. 2019
BET
Betekom
3 - 0
Zwarte Leeuw
ZWA
56%
24%
20%
496 898 402 -1

Matches

Esperanza Pelt
Esperanza Pelt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ESP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2019
ESP
Esperanza Pelt
3 - 1
Racing Mechelen
RAC
60%
22%
18%
1061 372 689 0
13 Apr. 2019
NIL
KFC Nijlen
0 - 1
Esperanza Pelt
ESP
45%
27%
28%
1061 900 -161 0
06 Apr. 2019
ESP
Esperanza Pelt
3 - 1
Eendracht Termien
EEN
53%
25%
22%
1060 860 200 +1
31 Mar. 2019
HEL
Helson Helchteren
0 - 1
Esperanza Pelt
ESP
41%
27%
32%
1060 866 -194 0
24 Mar. 2019
TIE
Tienen
3 - 1
Esperanza Pelt
ESP
31%
27%
42%
1061 468 -593 -1