Zwaluwen vs VOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
5º
31
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZWA
1 - 3
SCF
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HEE
0 - 3
ZWA
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ZWA
0 - 0
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DSO
0 - 0
ZWA
25%
20%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 0
RVV
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
VOC
0 - 2
NIE
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VOC
3 - 0
RVV
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LRC
6 - 1
VOC
62%
19%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 2
VOC
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VOC
2 - 3
RKA
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |