Zwaluwen vs ODIN '59 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
15º
10º
44
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIE
0 - 1
ZWA
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZWA
1 - 1
WNC
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZWA
0 - 0
GOE
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 1
ZWA
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
RIJ
2 - 0
ZWA
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ODIN '59
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 2
GOE
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 4
ODI
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ODI
3 - 2
JOD
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SMI
2 - 4
ODI
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 2
ODI
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |