Zwaluwen vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 1
XER
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 5
ZWA
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ZWA
2 - 2
HEI
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NIV
0 - 1
ZWA
19%
20%
60%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HOE
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 3
EXC
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
NIV
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KLO
2 - 4
EXC
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
NIE
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ASW
2 - 1
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |