Zwaluwen vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DHS
2 - 4
ZWA
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ZWA
2 - 0
SMI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
ZWA
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ZWA
1 - 1
SPI
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ZWA
2 - 3
ACH
21%
22%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 2
POO
53%
22%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 1
ARC
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 0
ACH
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JOD
0 - 1
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
QUI
4 - 1
ARC
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |