Zwaluwen .30 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
KAT
1 - 2
ZWA
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
DTO
6 - 2
ZWA
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ZWA
4 - 4
NOO
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SHO
2 - 3
ZWA
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
ZWA
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIS
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 1
QUI
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
TGR
4 - 2
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
RIJ
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
CAP
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |