Zurich vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
36%
24%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
RMA
1 - 0
ZUR
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
4 - 3
CAG
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ACM
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |