Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 5-3
Zurich vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 3
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
RUD
1 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
WIT
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
GOR
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
WIT
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
NKI
49%
23%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |