Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
8º
51
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 3
ZUR
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 3
YOB
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YVE
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
YVE
2 - 2
FCL
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 2
WIN
54%
23%
22%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |