Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
RAP
1 - 3
ZUR
13%
19%
69%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
ZUR
4 - 0
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 2
WIN
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 0
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
INT
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
ING
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
LUG
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
LUG
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ACS
0 - 12
LUG
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |