Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
2 - 1
KRI
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
YVE
1 - 2
ZUR
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
DEL
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
DEL
0 - 1
ZUR
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YVE
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
YOB
3 - 2
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 0
ETO
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 3
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 0
LUG
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |