Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
17%
21%
63%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
NEX
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
49%
22%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 2
BAS
25%
23%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |