Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
6º
1º
48
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 0
SLO
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 0
IGM
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZRI
19%
27%
55%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SIR
3 - 2
IGM
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SIR
1 - 0
POS
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 0
BBL
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |