UEFA Intertoto Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Zrinjski Mostar vs Maccabi Petah Tikva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 1
ZRI
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
ZRI
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ZRI
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 1
ZRI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ZRI
2 - 1
ČEL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 1
ZRI
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MPT
2 - 1
HAP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 1
MPT
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 0
BSA
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HKS
2 - 2
MPT
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |