De Zouaven vs RKVV Velsen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
16º
13º
19
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DEZ
2 - 4
VOC
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SJC
1 - 5
DEZ
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DEZ
4 - 1
ALC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DEZ
4 - 1
VKW
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
WES
3 - 1
DEZ
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
RKVV Velsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RKV
2 - 2
WES
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ROH
4 - 0
RKV
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RKV
0 - 0
ALP
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PUR
3 - 2
RKV
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
RKV
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |