De Zouaven vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VVE
1 - 1
DEZ
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOG
3 - 2
DEZ
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DEZ
1 - 1
ALP
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RKA
3 - 0
DEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DEZ
0 - 0
HBS
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 3
HBS
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BEQ
1 - 1
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
6 - 1
SDO
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +4 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SJC
1 - 1
ALC
76%
14%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SDO
3 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |