Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
7º
30
7º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 71 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
98.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 49 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 47 |
6º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 36 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 33 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 2
ZOR
31%
23%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
4 - 0
PYU
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 0
DTB
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 1
ARK
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
SAB
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 1
SOG
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
TER
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 3
VOR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 2
LLA
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |