Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
14º
10º
32
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SKD
2 - 2
ZOR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 3
DYN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 1
MET
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OBO
1 - 2
ZOR
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
DYN
2 - 0
ZOR
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
PFC
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
CHO
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 4
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
VOR
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |