Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
SKR
2 - 0
ZNI
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ZNI
0 - 0
MOT
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ZNI
0 - 1
POG
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HUT
1 - 0
ZNI
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ZNI
0 - 1
SWR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
WIS
3 - 2
PGM
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
WIG
4 - 0
PGM
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PGM
0 - 2
KAL
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
PGM
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PGM
1 - 0
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |