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Poland Third Division. Matchday 20

Znicz Pruszkow Motor Lublin
34 ELO 26
-7% Tilt 29%
2780º General ELO ranking 4145º
46º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Znicz Pruszkow
26.4%
Draw
35.2%
Motor Lublin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
Znicz Pruszkow
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
Motor Lublin
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Znicz Pruszkow
-31%
-4%
Motor Lublin

Points and table prediction

Znicz Pruszkow
Their league position
Motor Lublin
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
19º
14º
41
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gornik Polkowice
66
75
55%
GKS Katowice
61
71
54%
Chojniczanka Chojnice
58
67
35%
Wigry Suwalki
55
63
56%
Garbarnia Kraków
49
57
24%
Kalisz
48
55
20%
SKRA Częstochowa
47
54
26%
Stal Rzeszow
46
53
20%
Śląsk Wrocław II
43
51
22%
Motor Lublin
10º
41
47
10º
22%
Sokół Ostróda
11º
40
44
12º
25%
Hutnik Krakow
12º
40
45
11º
25%
Pogon Siedlce
13º
37
44
13º
20%
Lech Poznań II
14º
33
40
14º
15%
Znicz Pruszkow
15º
33
39
15º
13%
Stargard Szczeciński
16º
33
37
17º
15%
Olimpia Grudziadz
17º
32
37
16º
17%
Bytovia Bytow
18º
30
37
18º
21%
Olimpia Elblag
19º
29
36
19º
28%
Expected probabilities
Znicz Pruszkow
Motor Lublin
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 3%
Mid-table
61% 97%
Relegation
39% 0%

ELO progression

Znicz Pruszkow
ZNI
Motor Lublin
MOT
Olimpia Elblag
OLI
Bytovia Bytow
BYT
Wigry Suwalki
WIG
Olimpia Grudziadz
OLI
Next opponents in ELO points