Znicz Pruszkow vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
ZNI
1 - 4
SIA
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PUS
1 - 0
ZNI
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ZNI
0 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
RES
3 - 1
ZNI
43%
28%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
STA
0 - 1
ZNI
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
MOT
3 - 1
UTA
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GAK
2 - 1
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
MOT
1 - 1
STA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOT
2 - 0
SIA
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
RES
2 - 2
MOT
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |