Znamya vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
TOR
9 - 1
ZNA
87%
10%
3%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
FKG
10%
20%
70%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZNA
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
ZEN
16%
23%
61%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
KOS
2 - 0
ZNA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 0
NIM
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
KAL
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 0
ORE
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
ZVE
0 - 0
KAL
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
KAL
0 - 0
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |