Zitacuaro vs Club Calor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
8º
24
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
3 - 3
ZIT
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZIT
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 3
THM
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 1
PDC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Club Calor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
PDC
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 2
CAL
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAA
80%
15%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |