Zira FK vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
6º
5º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SUM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 3
SFK
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 0
NAN
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 3
SFK
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 1
QAR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
QAR
9%
21%
71%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
4 - 0
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |