Zira FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
6º
5º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
24%
28%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
ZIR
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ZIR
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 7
QAR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 3
SFK
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |