Zimbabwe vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
0 - 0
ZIM
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SYC
2 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ZIM
1 - 0
ANG
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
3 - 1
SYC
82%
14%
5%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
ERI
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
KEN
4 - 1
ERI
87%
10%
2%
|
16 | 71 | 55 | 0 |