Zenit vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
1º
13
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 1
CSK
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TER
0 - 0
ZEN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZEN
5 - 0
LOK
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ZEN
3 - 0
KRS
68%
18%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
KHI
1 - 1
ZEN
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 3
KHI
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KRS
1 - 1
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DIN
4 - 0
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 3
SOC
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |