Zenit vs Saturn-1991 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
NEF
2 - 1
ZEN
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1995 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ZEN
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CHN
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1995 |
ZEN
2 - 0
ZAL
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
ZEN
0 - 4
LOK
21%
26%
54%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn-1991
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
SAT
1 - 2
LAD
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1995 |
SAT
1 - 0
FAK
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1995 |
DMA
1 - 1
SAT
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1995 |
KKR
2 - 1
SAT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
SAT
4 - 1
AMO
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |