Qualif. Champions Play Offs. Final
Global 1-2
Zenit vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 1
DIN
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 0
URZ
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FCR
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
URZ
0 - 0
ZEN
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
FCR
1 - 3
ZEN
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
AUX
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 2
LOR
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SOC
1 - 2
AUX
34%
28%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
50%
27%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
LYO
2 - 1
AUX
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |