Željeznicar vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
3º
52
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BBL
2 - 1
ZEL
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
4 - 2
SLO
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZEL
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SIR
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
IGM
2 - 0
SAR
10%
22%
68%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 5
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 0
POS
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 4
SAR
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |