Željeznicar vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
3º
34
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 3
ZEL
17%
22%
62%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 2
ZEL
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ZEL
2 - 0
IGM
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
ZEL
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLO
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 0
LEO
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
RUD
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 3
LEO
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
POS
2 - 0
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |